China looking toward Afghanistan, Mexico, etc.

4-27-2011   Senior Iranian and Russian officials quickly made treks to Kabul to express their displeasure at the possibility of a U.S. military presence after 2014, Afghan officials said. The Taliban have always said they wouldn’t sign on to any peace process as long as foreign forces remain….

After routine pleasantries about improving bilateral ties and trade, Mr. Gilani told Mr. Karzai that the U.S. had failed both their countries, and that its policy of trying to open peace talks while at the same time fighting the Taliban made no sense, according to Afghans familiar with the meeting.

Mr. Gilani repeatedly referred to America’s “imperial designs,” playing to a theme that Mr. Karzai has himself often embraced in speeches. He also said that, to end the war, Afghanistan and Pakistan needed to take “ownership” of the peace process, according to Afghans familiar with what was said at the meeting. Mr. Gilani added that America’s economic problems meant it couldn’t be expected to support long-term regional development. A better partner would be
China, which Pakistanis call their “all-weather” friend, he said, according to participants in the meeting. He said the strategic partnership deal was ultimately an Afghan decision. But, he added, neither Pakistan nor other neighbors were likely to accept such a pact (Afghan-US).

Mr. Gilani’s office didn’t return calls seeking comment. A senior ISI official, speaking about the meeting, said: “It is us who should be cheesed because we are totally out of the loop on what the Americans are doing in Afghanistan.…We have been telling President Karzai that we will support any and all decisions that you take for Afghanistan as long as the process is Afghan-led and not dictated by outside interests.”  http://online.wsj.com/news/articles/SB10001424052748704729304576287041094035816

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 5-18-11 BEIJING: 

Prime Minister Syed Yousaf Raza Gilani declared China his country’s “best and most trusted” friend as he arrived in Beijing on Tuesday in the wake of fraying relations with another key ally, the United States.  (He signed 3 agreements with PRC).

http://tribune.com.pk/story/170412/gilani-hails-china-ties-amid-strains-with-us/

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China’s support for reconciliation between Kabul and the Taliban has become a fixture of its burgeoning diplomatic activity on Afghanistan’s post-2014 future.

Over the last year, China has been expanding its direct contacts with the Taliban and sounding them out on security issues that range from separatist groups in the Chinese region of Xinjiang to the protection of Chinese resource investments, according to interviews with officials and experts in Beijing, Washington, Kabul, Islamabad, and Peshawar. While Beijing would like to see the reconciliation talks succeed in preventing Afghanistan from falling back into civil war, it is not counting on their success, and thus is preparing to deal with whatever constellation of political forces emerges in Afghanistan after the United States withdraws.  http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2013/06/20/why_is_china_talking_to_the_taliban

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7-4-12      Last December, China’s state-owned National Petroleum Corporation signed a deal with the Afghan authorities that would make it the first foreign company to exploit Afghanistan’s oil and natural-gas reserves.

…China has already made it clear it will not contribute to the $4.1 billion multilateral fund to sustain Afghan national security forces. Rather, the two countries’ recently signed bilateral cooperation agreement is about “safeguarding Afghanistan’s national stability” through social and economic development….

China is especially keen on combating drug trafficking, as Badakhshan, the Afghan province bordering on Xinjiang, has become the main transit route for Afghan opium. But preventing the spillover into Xinjiang of Taliban-inspired religious extremism remains a high priority as well.  http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/china-s-afghan-game-plan

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ak PM Gilani on 4-day visit to Beijing

The Pakistan PM, who is on a four day visit to China, has signed three agreements on economic, technological cooperation, banking and mining with the communist nation.

http://indiatoday.intoday.in/video/pakistan-prime-minister-yousuf-raja-gilani-on-4-day-visit-to-beijing/1/138640.html

 

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1-12-14   According to the report, the 14K and Sun Yee On supply the cartel with precursor chemicals such as ethyl phenylacetate and ephedrine for the manufacture of meth for the insatiable American market.

In recent years there have been a spate of seizures of precursor chemicals by authorities in Latin America, with most of the shipments coming from China.

In a six-week period in 2012, Mexican security forces seized about 900 tonnes of precursor chemicals.

Months later, the authorities in Belize intercepted a single shipment of meth from China that was worth an estimated US$10 billion.

Lax controls in China’s chemical industry offer gangs easy access to precursor materials, while regulatory shortcomings abet smuggling efforts.

A recent UN report said Hong Kong did not issue end-user certificates to ensure the buyers of precursor chemicals were the actual recipient of the materials.

The narcotics division had not responded to questions on the regulatory framework by last night.

“These cartels benefit via linkages with Chinese organised crime by obtaining access to bulk precursor chemicals whose regulation has been severely tightened in Mexico and the United States,” said Professor Robert Bunker, of the Strategic Studies Institute at the US Army War College in Pennsylvania.

“The Chinese and HK triads get cash providing the bulk of precursor materials and also infantry small arms and ammunition. They also profit from smuggling Chinese and other Asian nationals via the cartels into the United States.”

The gangs also trade finished drugs, with Sinaloa selling cocaine to increasingly affluent Asian markets, according to a 2011 report by the non-profit Jamestown Foundation.   http://www.scmp.com/news/hong-kong/article/1403433/hong-kong-triads-supply-meth-ingredients-mexican-drug-cartels

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152. Riddance from delay is accomplished by two particular external qualities in life precision in labor, and vigilance.

 

-Morya: Community 1926
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10-3-13 Karzai during the visit was also expected to urge Beijing to help train and equip Afghan security forces, invest in the war-torn country, step up the development of the Aynak copper mine project in Logar province and discuss China’s interest in exploring for fuel and gas at the Amu River. Currently, 70 Afghan military officials are under training in China, and up to 45 police officers being trained on fighting drugs and riots. The number of Afghan officers to be trained in China is expected to reach 250 by 2015.
http://southasiamonitor.org/detail.php?type=sl&nid=6119
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2-2-14 While speaking during an interview with the Telegraph, president Karzai said that he “saw no good” in the American presence in Afghanistan.
Karzai said, “This whole 12 years was one of constant pleading with America to treat the lives of our civilians as lives of people.”
He also criticized the way the US aid was spent to Afghanistan and said the money paid to security firms created militias who caused lawlessness, corruption and higway robbery.
“They then began systematically waging psychological warfare on our people, encouraging our money to go out of our country. What they did was create pockets of wealth and a vast countryside of deprivation and anger,” Karzai said.
In regards to the Britain’s role in Afghanistan, president Karzai said that Britain tried to bring better relations between Afghanistan and Pakistan.
http://www.khaama.com/karzai-reveals-complete-breakdown-of-trust-between-afghanistan-and-us-2747
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Sept 2007 Afghanistan now has the dubious honor of ranking second to Iraq in sheer numbers of suicide bombing attacks (research for this article indicates 141 attacks for 2006). This from a country that saw no suicide bombing attacks against the Soviets during their decade-long occupation, no use of suicide bombing during the Taliban conquests from 1995 to 2001, and no more than a dozen bombings from 2001 to the summer of 2005…..
But in February 2003 Bin Laden issued a tape in which he called for “martyrdom operations against the enemy” in both Afghanistan and Iraq.
http://www.brianglynwilliams.com/IAA%20suicide.pdf
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1-7-14 China’s policy toward Afghanistan has followed Deng Xiaoping’s famous adage regarding how China should conduct itself in the international arena: “Observe calmly; secure our position; cope with affairs calmly; hide our capacities and bide our time; be good at maintaining a low profile; and never claim leadership.” http://www.worldpoliticsreview.com/articles/13478/global-insights-to-protect-interests-china-must-upgrade-afghanistan-policy
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11-9-12 Phillip Karber, a Georgetown University professor who sparked the debate through a university project that exposed China’s 3,000-mile long underground nuclear complex, said the Russian debate on China’s nuclear forces shows its strategic analysts are “thinking about the instability and dangers of a potential ‘tripolar’ nuclear balance” that has received scant attention from U.S. military or arms control advocates.

“The Russian report raises important questions about their and our ability to stay in existing arms control treaties and implement deep nuclear cuts when the Chinese are not constrained and have tactical/theater missile dominance as well as an emerging breakout potential over the next decade with unverified numbers of mobile MIRVed ICBMs hidden in a extensive underground infrastructure,” Karber said.

Karber said the Russian specialists quoted in the report have credibility because of Moscow’s past and current role in China’s nuclear program. Russia’s Strategic Rocket Forces also has good intelligence on China’s nuclear arsenal because it targeted China for three decades.

“This close proximity and long track record means that Russian ‘realism’ about Chinese nuclear force potential cannot be blithely ignored or discounted as ‘paranoia,’” Karber said. “Their warning against American ‘idealism’ [on China’s nuclear arms] needs to be taken seriously.”

Richard Fisher, a China military specialist with the International Assessment and Strategy Center, also said the latest Yesin report is a wake-up call for U.S. analysts.

“If Yesin’s numbers for Chinese theater nuclear weapons approaches reality, then the Obama administration’s 2010 reduction in U.S. theater weapons via the retirement of the Navy’s TLAM-N nuclear cruise missiles amounted to an act of unilateral disarmament that may prove destabilizing if it tempts China to consider military action,” Fisher said.

Fisher also said the estimates presented by Yesin may differ from western estimates but “we cannot forget that Yesin once was in command of Russia’s strategic missile forces, so it would have been his business to know about China’s nuclear forces.”…
“New long range non-nuclear armed missiles combined with new very long-range radar in Japan and the Philippines could become a new reconnaissance-strike-complex that could balance China’s emerging similar missile strike forces,” Fisher said.

The new missiles could check China’s missiles for at least the next decade, Fisher said, and “until the U.S. moves in this direction, there is probably no chance that China would consider entering into any formal missile limitation agreements.”

http://freebeacon.com/the-warhead-gap/

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